Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.887562 6.457559 7.084319 7.829474 8.697646 9.685203 10.905162
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.058132 5.835326 6.759367 7.958716 9.504815 11.476430 14.261237
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.461581 5.308797 6.366591 7.820848 9.831245 12.619267 16.997640
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.039708 4.917378 6.053959 7.687404 10.075466 13.628663 19.762212
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.698720 4.582040 5.759049 7.511763 10.195358 14.436933 22.414490
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.463115 4.358465 5.582850 7.467242 10.482395 15.541149 25.944743
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.272646 4.176361 5.440961 7.446200 10.788590 16.727270 30.097875
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.157746 4.087894 5.421047 7.602972 11.405222 18.612010 36.693298
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.956238 3.859330 5.172156 7.362013 11.283485 19.026120 39.906277
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.779611 3.655291 4.944072 7.130099 11.141299 19.362764 43.115711
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.644334 3.503708 4.784815 6.996354 11.161163 20.052576 47.837899
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.532249 3.379985 4.659748 6.907814 11.253624 20.929851 53.848324
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.505429 3.389560 4.755594 7.234795 12.273471 24.468729 74.255128
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.434932 3.328556 4.734356 7.352378 12.893802 27.289995 97.074143
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.326481 3.201345 4.593570 7.229951 12.961910 28.591337 114.718089
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.228202 3.084664 4.462101 7.111191 13.018144 29.897366 136.261886
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.131550 2.965549 4.318634 6.954692 12.959347 30.828485 158.473562
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.061669 2.886011 4.238036 6.914991 13.180493 32.841161 200.823365
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.000274 2.817091 4.171268 6.896222 13.452329 35.201055 264.530411
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.967128 2.792670 4.180992 7.035987 14.168884 39.777650 423.688372
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.884377 2.682098 4.029843 6.821103 13.882350 39.927463 488.432753
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.807698 2.578874 3.887151 6.613922 13.590123 39.965353 561.034627
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.747946 2.501824 3.788320 6.494276 13.531112 41.123417 723.502745